A Measlely Journey Through Social Media

Last night and today I was immersed in an interesting social media adventure that, at once, concretized the good, the bad, and the ugly of the medium.

As everyone knows, the U.S. is in the midst of a measles outbreak that has logged 141 cases so far in 2015. Pennsylvania, fortunately, has only had one case but it is only a matter of time before more accrue.

I am a member of a Facebook group whose mission is to improve vaccination rates in the state and seek an end to the philosophical exemption to school vaccination.  Last night, a message on the page alerted members that a mayor of a Pittsburgh suburb had announced on his publicly visible Facebook page that his fully vaccinated son was diagnosed with measles. Such an announcement set off a storm of questions in my and others’ mind including:

·      How was the diagnosis made?

·      How sick was the child?

·      What was his exposure history?

·      Were appropriate public health interventions taking place?

There had been no formal announcement of a case--possible, probable, or confirmed—from public health authorities as there had been with other instances.

The next day the mayor publicly tweeted and posted on Facebook that the diagnosis was made at an urgent care center without any laboratory testing.

This immediately triggered several more thoughts centered on stand-alone urgent care centers  (i.e. those not affiliated with a hospital). In general, I support these facilities and many excellent health care providers work at them. However, one shortcoming that I have noted is that they are not particularly well integrated into the public health emergency apparatus as they tend not to be part of health care emergency coalitions (unless they are owned by a hospital system)—a fact my colleagues and I noted in a paper focused on Hurricane Sandy.

Even a suspect measles case--let alone telling a patient they have measles—no matter how unlikely it is, should trigger notification of appropriate public health authorities because of the need for appropriate testing (PCR), isolation, a contact investigation, school notification, and the need to administer post-exposure prophylaxis to those not vaccinated.

The mayor’s follow-up tweet and postings confirmed what I thought when he wrote that measles was highly unlikely.

The lesson to me is that responsible health care providers, in all settings, need to take the right actions at the point-of-care and communicate the level of diagnostic certainty and appropriate protective actions needed to the patient who.

Social media has immense power for improving infectious disease management but can only be harnessed if its content is based on sound information.

One Bourbon, One Virus, One Tick

To me the allure of infectious diseases is that you never know what is around the next corner. Because we live in a world teeming with microbes--many of which are undiscovered--hearing about a novel infectious disease is not unexpected but is always exciting.

Much of the cutting edge research in infectious disease centers on pathogen discovery. In this quest certain places, animals, and humans are more fertile than others. For example, bush meat hunters and abattoir workers are frequent targets for emerging infections because these individuals live on the human-animal interface. Similarly, looking for pathogens that infect primate species is also fruitful because of the close evolutionary relationship between humans and other primates.

In recent decades and years, however, several new infectious diseases have been linked to ticks. Lyme Disease is probably the most well-known but more recently diseases such as the Heartland Virus, STARI, a novel cause of Ehrlichiosis, and SFTS virus have come to light. 

Ticks have an intimate relationship with humans because they gain direct access to our bloodstream during their blood meal, giving the microbes they harbor unrivaled access.

The latest microbe to capture the headlines is the interestingly named Bourbon Virus. This virus, responsible for the death of a man in Kansas, is tick-borne as well and its discovery is the direct result of improved diagnostic capabilities and the increasing recognition that it is important to not allow unexplained infectious disease syndromes to remain undiagnosed, points I made to USA Today. 

It's not clear at this point how widespread this virus is in humans and ticks or how frequently severe disease results, but all are important questions to be answered. 

The March of Antibiotic Resistance Leads to Another CRE Outbreak

Today there was much attention devoted to the "superbug" outbreak involving a California hospital. The basic facts surrounding this event are that duodenoscopes, a telescopic medical device used during ERCP procedures, were found to be contaminated with carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE). An ERCP is a procedure employed to evaluate the pancreas and bile ducts and is an essential part of modern medical diagnosis treatment for myriad conditions. Thus far, 7 people were infected with 2 succumbing to their infections; 179 were exposed from October 2014 through January 2015.

A couple of important points regarding these events:

• Expect more CRE outbreaks as the march of antibiotic resistance continues
• This type of hospital-acquired (nosocomial) infection is exactly what is meant by antibiotic resistance threatening modern medicine (i.e. can procedures be performed safely when the risk of contracting an untreatable infection is considerable)
• Anytime one has a breach of an immune defense, there is risk for infection. Sticking an intricate and flexible telescope through the mouth into the small intestine is most definitely a breach (albeit one that is necessary to treat and diagnose certain conditions)
• Scope related infections are nothing new and this outbreak reinforces the need for device sterilization to be performed meticulously and without fail (at my institution gas sterilization using ethylene oxide has been employed with great success since an 18 person outbreak was uncovered)

CRE are labeled an urgent threat by the CDC because they are near impossible to treat and have a high attributable mortality.  As this outbreak remains in the headlines I believe it is an important opportunity to reiterate to the public that this is the end result of injudicious antibiotic use and there is a desperate need for new approaches to combat bacterial infections (monoclonal antibodies, vaccines, bacteriophages, lysins, antimicrobial peptides, virulence disruptors).

The often unwarranted demand for antibiotics--and physician acquiescence--must stop or else the antibiotic age, which dawned in the first half of the 20th Century, will become a mere memory.

A Simple Tool Illustrating the Protective Shield of Vaccines

A screen shot showing the Pittsburgh area with simulated measles cases at 95% and 80% vaccination rates

When discussing the topic of highly contagious infectious diseases such as measles that require a the population to maintain a high vaccination rate to be kept at bay I invoke concepts like herd protection. Herd protection, sometimes also described as herd immunity, refers to the ability of an unvaccinated or vaccine non-responding individual to rely on the fact that others are adequately immunized so the contagion's ability to reach them is severely restricted. 

When I was an infectious disease fellow one of my attending physicians would illustrate this point with a graphic of a herd of cows with various degrees of vaccination within the ranks of their herd. 

The point he was concretizing is that the more contagious a microbe is the higher the vaccination rate must be. In mathematical and epidemiological terms the level of vaccination must be 1 - (1/Ro). Ro represents the contagiousness of the disease and you can see just by plugging in an approximate number of say 20 for measles, how high the vaccination rate must be (95%).

If that all seems too abstract and the cow example seems too simplistic, I have a solution.

The Graduate School of Public Health (GSPH) at the University of Pittsburgh has a fun tool to help illustrate these points. Affectionately known as FRED, this epidemic stimulator allows one to see a measles outbreak unfold in various locales with disparate vaccination coverage rates. One can see how a measles outbreak is stopped when vaccination rates are at the 95% threshold and how the spread when below. 

Such a tool, coupled with the data and graphics of another of GSPH's great projects, is a welcome addition to the armamentarium when trying to educate the public and policymakers (some of who defend vaccines like PA State Rep. Corbin and US Reps. Dent and Marino) of just how important the measles vaccination has been in eliminating this disease from the US--a status that is now severely threatened. 

Will Science One Day Prove There's No Time to Die? A Review of Kira Peikoff's Latest Novel

Imagine being on the cusp of a scientific breakthrough about to change the entire nature of everything we know about life. We’ve all been taught that living organisms are born, they develop, they age, and they die.  But what if aging—thought to be an axiomatic part of living—is really a pathological process that should be attacked with the same vigor reserved for influenza, Ebola, and other infectious diseases. After all, it was once a “normal” fact of life that people succumbed to infectious diseases. That is before antibiotics, vaccines, and antivirals were developed. Now imagine such a discovery was not welcomed (as it should be), but forbidden because it would bankrupt the social welfare programs that are premised on specific limited life spans as well as disrupt the “natural order” of things. What do the scientists and physicians relentlessly pursuing the quest for knowledge and understanding in this realm do?  Theirs is not an endeavor detached from life because they seek, not just to understand how to halt aging, but to use it to improve human life. Such is the premise behind Kira Peikoff’s second novel No Time to Die which I highly recommend.

Ms. Peikoff masterfully integrates cutting-edge science with her plot in a manner that made me eager to learn just how close we are to the discoveries that drive of the plot of the novel. Like she demonstrated in her first novel, Living Proof, Ms. Peikoff has developed a rare ability to credibly (and ominously) project a society of the near future in which those that oppose the advance of scientific and medical discovery—for religious or other reasons—have been granted the ability to arbitrate over what is allowed and what is forbidden. Such a world is not far-fetched; just peruse the debates regarding embryonic stem cell research, speculation about rapamycin's anti-aging properties, genetically modified organisms (GMOs),  gain-of-function virologic experiments, and the desire by some to die at age 75 to understand that this trend already exists in the non-fictional world of today.  The modern backlash against life-enhancing vaccines, which literally catapulted human lifespans, is also a case in point. 

If I were to attempt to identify the theme of this remarkable book, I would identify its abstract meaning to be the promise of science, a product of human reason, to illuminate the world, transforming what once was a terrifying mystery into a benevolent place in which humans can flourish.

A novel with such a theme is well worth immersing oneself in.